As a famous American, not Clint
Dempsey, nor even Brad Friedel, but an even more famous American than both of these, once said:
There are known knowns: things we know that we know. There are known unknowns; that is
to say, there are things that we now know we don't know. But there
are also unknown unknowns – there are things we do not know we
These are surprisingly wise
words from the American Secretary of Defence, Donald Rumsfeld, who
generally speaking particularly with regard to the Iraq war was both dangerous and self
I'm pretty certain that Brad
would have made a better Secretary of Defence than Donald would have
made a goalkeeper. This is not so much a known known as a
guess. Whether he would have made a better striker than Clint is
firmly in the realms of known unknowns.
He omitted of course the
crucial part of this; those things we think we know but are
completely wrong about. False knowns as they are known. Like the existence
of weapons of mass destruction before we invaded Iraq. Most ITK information comes into this category. These are
sometimes known as guesses or even fabrications.
How does this apply to THFC? I
can hear you asking and I'm coming to that. A lot of what Daniel Levy
does is in firm known unknowns territory. During the transfer window
we have no idea what is going on and very occasionally we find
ITK of course acts as a
smokescreen for this kind of activity and may well be generated by The Small Leaks Dept. within THFC itself to cover Daniel's tracks. The
Leandro saga is a perfect example of a rumour masquerading as a fact,
or is it the other way round?
So what do we actually know? Franco
Baldini's arrival is now a fact and thus elevated from a known unknown
to a known known. Although the system is the preferred set up of
Daniel the choice of personnel was largely determined by AVB which makes good
sense to me.
We can assume from this that AVB will be staying. Leaving now would be like
inviting people round for a meal and going out for a drink on your
own as soon as they arrived. A whole new take on 'Your dinner's in
The DOF system was put on hold as Harry doesn't need such
help, just a mate to share the driving and tell him what a good
job he's doing..
Newcastle did it a different
way: appointed a DOF with a loose mouth who loves the limelight without consulting the
Manager resulting in the immediate resignation of the Managing
Director and general disgruntlement by the fans and Alan Shearer. Spurs method has
more chance of success in my view. I give Pardew until Xmas.
Signings are all still in the
known unknowns category as is the future of GB. I was 90% sure that
he would stay at the end of the season. This dropped to 70% at the
height of the Real Madrid nonsense and the AVB to PSG stuff. I'm back
at 80 % at the moment.
Signings are firmly in the
known knowns because we haven't actually made any yet. But as your targets increase
in quality so the problems over fees, wages and bids from other teams
mount. We may have to wait until the richer Champions' League rivals get back from Tesco's with their carrier bags full of goodies.
Where will we finish this
season? Now there's a real journey into the unknown. What will count as
success or failure? Anything less than top four will be rightly
regarded all round as more than disappointing.
Year of Transition and with a settled management structure unlike most of
our rivals and a couple of key signings we should be good to go into
upper reaches of the Premier League but can we mount a challenge for the
Probably not but as Sir William
Nicholson once said:
"It is better to fail aiming high than to
succeed aiming low. And we of Spurs have set our sights very high, so
high in fact that even failure will have in it an echo of glory."
Good luck with that thought if we only manage 5th again.
Musings nomination for the best signing of last season. Hugo Lloris.
(Graphics by Alon Berg)
Jimmy's Video Spot: Paulinho
A more likely signing than others we have been linked with. A goal scoring Brazilian in the Sandro mould Looks good enough to me and a bargain at around £20 million. We think we know about this one and remember we are not always wrong.
Musings Likelihood rating: Quietly confident unless Real Madrid grab him first.